I think it is obvious that both of these men are completely ravaged by the demands of a campaign cycle approaching its third decade. No one can travel thousands of miles, sleep a few hours a night, be constantly guarded in their remarks, and keep abreast of world events for month after gruelling month and be expected to remain anything other than a sound-bite spewing zombie. Such was the train wreck on Friday.
Each man revealed that his well-acknowledged weakness really is. For Sen. McCain it was almost painful watching him flail about on economic matters. His knee-jerk recourse to "ear-mark" spending says more about his fundamental lack of economic understanding than it does about his budget discipline. It seemed clear to me that to John McCain a "hedge" is a well-trimmed bush.
As for Sen. Obama, it is safe to say the man is a quick study. He is now feverishly trying to prevaricate on his more leftish primary comments. His dissembling on "pre-conditions" for talks with ne'r-do-wells versus "preparations" revealed the type of academic hair-splitting that doesn't lend itself to situation room hair-trigger decision making. It suggests a man who views foreign policy like faculty meetings. Everyone hearing everyone out and coming to a learned consensus. It seemed clear to me that to Barack Obama a "Trident" is a three tined fork.
So each man lacks omniscience. Good news then--they're human. The important question is which weakness matters more? For most of the post-war period the verdict of the American people has be crystal clear: foreign affairs trumps economic policy. Republicans have won 7 of the last 10 presidential elections while Democrats have retained control of the Congress during much of this time. Voters, it seems, aren't as stupid as they seem. They recognize that the President's primary job has become the role as Commander-in-Chief. While Congress may masticate over the vagaries of tax policy, subsidies, the welfare state, and regulation, only the president guides foreign policy, negotiates treaties, free-trade agreements-- and let's be frank, wages war.
There is an exception that proves the rule: in 1992 after Messrs Reagan and Bush had ushered out the Soviet Union, won an overwhelming victory in the sands of Arabia and convinced the American people that they were suddenly exempt from history, Bill Clinton convinced everyone that the economy trumped all else.
Unfortunately, while the Clinton administration was busy making it "about the economy" the world was busy moving through history. Repeated signs of growing threats from the Islamic world went unheeded as we built dot.com fortunes overnight--and seduced interns as we went.
Today, we return to the status quo ante where the president's job is to defend the country, encourage our interests, and manage trade. Whatever else we may believe about the presidency, it does not control or direct the economy. He does control and direct our ambassadors and the Armed Forces.
If John McCain lacks on economic matters, he will have advisers and he gets the big picture. He is right on the areas where the president matters: lower taxes--and yes-- lower regulation.
When it comes to Barack Obama, he will have advisers on foreign policy, but he doesn't get the big picture. America can't make friends through weakness, and where the President matters he gets it wrong-- failure to appreciate the Islamic threat, and an over estimation of his own power of persuasion.
Each of these men is flawed. I'll take the flaws that don't matter over the ones that do every time.
